PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Artemio FranchiFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

Torino

LLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFiorentinaTorino
Shots21 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession55%45%
Corners9 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match23 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.3%▲PossessionFiorentina · Torino44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaTorinoBaseline
Possession53.3%44.3%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fiorentina
1Draws
0Torino
Torino — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 5 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/241 goals/match
1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 24/241.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/2412.1 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2413.9 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲4.33 shots/match
4.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲4.25 shots/match
53.3%Possessionseason · 24/2444.3%
4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲4.38 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.92 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2414.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲38%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2467%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina62.5
Torino22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina47.5
Torino47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina25
Torino24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina72.5
Torino87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina58.8
Torino55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina72.5
Torino42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina53.8
Torino58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52.6%Possession5/541.8%
6 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/516.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.7 shots/match
56.5%Possession10/1046.4%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored24/241 goals/match
1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed24/241.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.1 shots/match▲Shots24/2412.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲4.33 shots/match
53.3%Possession24/2444.3%
4.83 corners/matchCorners24/244 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards24/241.92 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.42 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121 goals/match
1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.08 shots/match
55.1%Possession12/1243.3%
5.92 corners/matchCorners12/123.92 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.34 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFiorentinaTorino
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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