PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Fri, 23 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

WWDWW
6–2Full-time recap

Pisa

LDLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterPisa
Shots34 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target14 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.4 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Pisa10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterPisaBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match10.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8.36 shots/match15.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8%▲PossessionInter · Pisa40%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterPisaBaseline
Possession59.8%40%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Inter
0Draws
0Pisa
Pisa — Inter · Serie A0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 0 · 4 too close

2.27 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/220.82 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.68 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
18.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2210.2 shots/match
8.36 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2215.9 shots/match
6.18 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/222.68 shots/match
2.64 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/224.95 shots/match
59.8%Possessionseason · 22/2240%
6.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/224 corners/match
2.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.05 corners/match
1.59 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 22/222.14 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2213 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2218%
95%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter92.5
Pisa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter97.5
Pisa14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter89.2
Pisa9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter97.5
Pisa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter47.5
Pisa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter97.5
Pisa37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter91.2
Pisa26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
61.8%Possession5/537.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.8 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
58.8%Possession10/1041.9%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
2.27 goals/match▲Goals scored22/220.82 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.68 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.4 shots/match▲Shots22/2210.2 shots/match
6.18 shots/match▲Shots on target22/222.68 shots/match
59.8%Possession22/2240%
6.91 corners/matchCorners22/224 corners/match
1.59 cards/matchCards22/222.14 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2213 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111.45 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/112.36 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.3 shots/match▲Shots12/119.91 shots/match
7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target12/112.82 shots/match
60.1%Possession12/1137.5%
7.92 corners/matchCorners12/113.82 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards12/112 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1113.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsInterPisa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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