PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Pisa 0–1 Parma · Serie A

Pisa

DDWDL
0–1Historical match

Parma

LLDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 0–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.521.18
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Pisa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Pisa – Parma): shots 14–9, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.52–1.18, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsPisa 14 shots, Parma 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsPisa 2 shots, Parma 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.18 xGPisa 1.52 xG, Parma 1.18 xG
  • Possession60%40%Pisa 60%, Parma 40%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersPisa 6 corners, Parma 0 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsPisa 15 fouls, Parma 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsPisa 2 cards, Parma 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emanuele Valeri · Parma · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Caracciolo · Pisa · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Léris · Pisa · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSascha Britschgi · Parma · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Léris · Pisa · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Parma · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Pisa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Piccinini · Pisa · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Touré · Pisa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Touré · Pisa · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetM'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEnrico Del Prato · Parma · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefano Moreo · Pisa · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedM'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedM'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Parma · 13′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 64′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Touré · Pisa · 65′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedM'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 88′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedM'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 58′ · 0.67 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Parma · 40′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Pisa: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.54 xG. Parma: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Adrian Benedyczak · Parma · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pisa 1.54 xG · Parma 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Pisa
2Draws
2Parma
Parma — Pisa · Serie B3–2
Pisa — Parma · Serie B1–2
Parma — Pisa · Serie B0–1
Pisa — Parma · Serie B0–0
Pisa — Parma · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Pisa favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Pisa14 matchesParma14 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.71 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.99 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 10.8 shots/match
2.43 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 2.93 shots/match
40.1%Possession14/14● 42.1%
3.43 corners/match ●Corners14/143 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPisaParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headPisa — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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