PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Via del MareFull-time recap

Lecce

WDLLW
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLecceHellas Verona
Shots11 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.55 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hellas Verona.

6 days▲Rest daysLecce · Hellas Verona6.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLecceHellas VeronaBaseline
Rest days6 days6.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lecce favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 3 · 6 too close

0.73 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.55 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.45 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.91 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲12.3 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1112.2 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲4.91 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/114 shots/match
45.1%Possessionseason · 11/1137.8%
5.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/113.82 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲4.36 corners/match
1.82 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/112.55 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1117 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
55%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1145%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lecce27.5
Hellas Verona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lecce23.3
Hellas Verona45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lecce44.2
Hellas Verona36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lecce27.5
Hellas Verona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lecce33.8
Hellas Verona90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lecce67.5
Hellas Verona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lecce36.2
Hellas Verona65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots5/510.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
49%Possession5/534.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/517 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
45.5%Possession10/1037.9%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
0.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.55 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.91 shots/matchShots11/11▲12.3 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲4.91 shots/match
45.1%Possession11/1137.8%
5.27 corners/matchCorners11/113.82 corners/match
1.82 cards/matchCards11/112.55 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1117 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
0.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.33 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.83 shots/matchShots6/6▲11 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4 shots/match
47%Possession6/636.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/62.67 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/617.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLecceHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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