PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

DWDWD
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoCagliari
Shots10 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession75%25%
Corners10 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cagliari. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cagliari.

6.88 days▲Rest daysComo · Cagliari4.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricComoCagliariBaseline
Rest days6.88 days4.76 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.9 fouls/match▲FoulsComo · Cagliari15.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricComoCagliariBaseline
Fouls15.9 fouls/match15.7 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 1 · 4 too close

1.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.82 goals/match
0.55 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.27 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/119.55 shots/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1113.2 shots/match
4.55 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.09 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.73 shots/match
60.5%Possessionseason · 11/1144%
3.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/112.91 corners/match
3.55 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/116.27 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲2.27 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1115.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%
64%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como92.5
Cagliari22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como61.7
Cagliari20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como75.8
Cagliari29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como22.5
Cagliari12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como92.5
Cagliari72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como37.5
Cagliari10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como66.2
Cagliari31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
63.4%Possession5/545%
4 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/516 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
60.2%Possession10/1043.9%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/102.9 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match
0.55 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.27 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots11/119.55 shots/match
4.55 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.09 shots/match
60.5%Possession11/1144%
3.91 corners/matchCorners11/112.91 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCards11/112.27 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1115.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots6/610.2 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match
60.8%Possession6/643%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/62.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls6/615.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.76 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoCagliari
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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