Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milan 2–2 Pisa · Serie A

Milan

WWWDW
2–2Historical match

Pisa

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan and Pisa drew 2–2.

Shots
208
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.541.42
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

AC Milan and Pisa drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (AC Milan – Pisa): shots 20–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.54–1.42, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AC Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AC Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAC Milan · Pisa9.13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAC MilanPisaBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match9.13 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.75 shots/match16.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AC Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionAC Milan · Pisa39%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAC MilanPisaBaseline
Possession53.5%39%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsMilan 20 shots, Pisa 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsMilan 7 shots, Pisa 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG1.42 xGMilan 1.54 xG, Pisa 1.42 xG
  • Possession68%32%Milan 68%, Pisa 32%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersMilan 6 corners, Pisa 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls21 foulsMilan 8 fouls, Pisa 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsMilan 1 card, Pisa 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafael Leão · AC Milan · 7′ · 0.01 xG · goalGiovanni Bonfanti · Pisa · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Caracciolo · Pisa · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Bartesaghi · AC Milan · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Gabbia · AC Milan · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZachary Athekame · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.01 xG · goalEbenezer Akinsanmiro · Pisa · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Tramoni · Pisa · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Pisa · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · AC Milan · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Pisa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoni De Winter · AC Milan · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · AC Milan · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuka Modrić · AC Milan · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Bartesaghi · AC Milan · 24′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Gabbia · AC Milan · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSantiago Giménez · AC Milan · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRafael Leão · AC Milan · 21′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · AC Milan · 78′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · AC Milan · 64′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedM'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 86′ · 0.63 xG · goalJuan Cuadrado · Pisa · 60′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AC Milan: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.50 xG. Pisa: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rafael Leão · AC Milan · 7′Zachary Athekame · AC Milan · 90′Juan Cuadrado · Pisa · 60′M'Bala Nzola · Pisa · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AC Milan 1.50 xG · Pisa 1.55 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Pisa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan8 matchesPisa8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.91 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.13 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession8/839%
4.13 corners/match ●Corners8/83.38 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls8/813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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