Serie A · 2025Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli 3–1 Inter · Serie A

Napoli

WWLWL
3–1Historical match

Inter

LWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 3–1.

Shots
715
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.251.89
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Inter 3–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Inter): shots 7–15, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.25–1.89, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.38 corners/matchCornersNapoli · Inter● 7.63 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliInterBaseline
Corners6.38 corners/match7.63 corners/match4.19 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Inter18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliInterBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match18.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match9.25 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsNapoli 7 shots, Inter 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsNapoli 3 shots, Inter 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.89 xGNapoli 1.25 xG, Inter 1.89 xG
  • Possession43%57%Napoli 43%, Inter 57%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersNapoli 1 corner, Inter 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsNapoli 15 fouls, Inter 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardNapoli 2 cards, Inter 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

David Neres · Napoli · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 54′ · 0.07 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 79′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 66′ · 0.24 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 15′ · 0.54 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 59′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.40 xG. Inter: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kevin De Bruyne · Napoli · 33′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 54′Frank Anguissa · Napoli · 66′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.40 xG · Inter 1.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Napoli
3Draws
1Inter
Napoli — Inter · Serie A1–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Inter · Serie A0–3
Napoli — Inter · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli8 matchesInter8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.38 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.92 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 18.5 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/85.38 shots/match
60.5% ●Possession8/859%
6.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 7.63 corners/match
1.13 cards/matchCards8/81.5 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls8/814.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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