PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Udinese 3–2 Lecce · Serie A

Udinese

WLLDD
3–2Historical match

Lecce

LLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 3–2.

Shots
813
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.030.38
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Lecce 3–2. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Lecce): shots 8–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.03–0.38, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsUdinese 8 shots, Lecce 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsUdinese 4 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.38 xGUdinese 1.03 xG, Lecce 0.38 xG
  • Possession44%56%Udinese 44%, Lecce 56%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersUdinese 4 corners, Lecce 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsUdinese 12 fouls, Lecce 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsUdinese 2 cards, Lecce 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Štulić · Lecce · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 16′ · 0.03 xG · goalMedon Berisha · Lecce · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 59′ · 0.03 xG · goalSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Sala · Lecce · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalOumar Solet · Udinese · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVakoun Issouf Bayo · Udinese · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 22′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAdam Buksa · Udinese · 89′ · 0.29 xG · goalKeinan Davis · Udinese · 37′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG. Lecce: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jesper Karlström · Udinese · 16′Keinan Davis · Udinese · 37′Adam Buksa · Udinese · 89′Medon Berisha · Lecce · 59′Konan N'Dri · Lecce · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.02 xG · Lecce 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Udinese
1Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–1
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–2
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese8 matchesLecce8 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.69 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/810 shots/match
3.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.75 shots/match
49% ●Possession8/844.9%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.5 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headUdinese — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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