PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LLLDL
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaHellas Verona
Shots7 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target0 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession60%40%
Corners3 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.29 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.29 shots/match▲ShotsPisa · Hellas Verona14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPisaHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Hellas Verona have a visible away split

weak

Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 6 · 6 too close

0.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.29 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.29 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.29 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲14.1 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲11.4 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲5 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲3.43 shots/match
40%Possessionseason · 7/740.3%
3.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.29 corners/match
6.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4.29 corners/match
1.57 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 7/72.14 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/716.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%
29%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/729%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5
Hellas Verona7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa5.8
Hellas Verona52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa18.3
Hellas Verona55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa32.5
Hellas Verona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa42.5
Hellas Verona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa22.5
Hellas Verona47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa21.2
Hellas Verona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match
1.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
43%Possession5/543%
4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/516.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.29 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.29 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5 shots/match
40%Possession7/740.3%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/74.29 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/716.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.29 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.29 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5 shots/match
40%Possession7/740.3%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/74.29 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/716.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲0.25 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShots4/4▲12 shots/match
1.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲3.25 shots/match
45.3%Possession4/437.5%
4 corners/matchCorners4/42.75 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/416.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPisaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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