PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese 1–1 Udinese · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Udinese

WWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cremonese and Udinese drew 1–1.

Shots
118
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.070.55
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cremonese and Udinese drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Udinese): shots 11–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.07–0.55, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6.71 shots/match ▲ShotsCremonese · Udinese12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseUdineseBaseline
Shots6.71 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cremonese have a visible home split

weak

Cremonese's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season6.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match6.71 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsCremonese 11 shots, Udinese 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCremonese 4 shots, Udinese 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.55 xGCremonese 1.07 xG, Udinese 0.55 xG
  • Possession52%48%Cremonese 52%, Udinese 48%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCremonese 5 corners, Udinese 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsCremonese 15 fouls, Udinese 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsCremonese 4 cards, Udinese 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Cremonese · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Bianchetti · Cremonese · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFranco Vázquez · Cremonese · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJakub Piotrowski · Udinese · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVakoun Issouf Bayo · Udinese · 61′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Terracciano · Cremonese · 4′ · 0.22 xG · goalJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 60′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG. Udinese: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Filippo Terracciano · Cremonese · 4′Nicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 1.07 xG · Udinese 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cremonese
1Draws
1Udinese
Udinese — Cremonese · Serie A3–0
Cremonese — Udinese · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese7 matchesUdinese7 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.12 xG/match
6.71 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.71 shots/match
44.6%Possession7/7● 49.7%
2.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.29 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCremoneseUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCremonese — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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