PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Udinese

WWLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseUdinese
Shots11 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6.71 shots/match▲ShotsCremonese · Udinese12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseUdineseBaseline
Shots6.71 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cremonese have a visible home split

weak

Cremonese's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season6.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match6.71 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Udinese in 7 · 4 too close

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/71 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.43 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
6.71 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲12.9 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲11.4 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲3.71 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲3.71 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 7/749.7%
2.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.29 corners/match
6.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4.86 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/7▲2.29 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese37.5
Udinese47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese26.7
Udinese46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese12.5
Udinese43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Udinese57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese53.8
Udinese61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese7.5
Udinese57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese14.4
Udinese49.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
6.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/550.6%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
6.71 shots/matchShots7/7▲12.9 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.71 shots/match
44.6%Possession7/749.7%
2.86 corners/matchCorners7/74.29 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
6.71 shots/matchShots7/7▲12.9 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.71 shots/match
44.6%Possession7/749.7%
2.86 corners/matchCorners7/74.29 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.25 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.33 shots/matchShots3/4▲10.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/43.5 shots/match
48.7%Possession3/446.3%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/44.25 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/42.5 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/414 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.3 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCremoneseUdinese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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