PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaSassuolo
Shots17 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Hellas Verona's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.33 goals/match1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona have a visible home split

weak

Hellas Verona's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsHellas Verona · Sassuolo9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaSassuoloBaseline
Shots14 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 4 · 4 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/69.5 shots/match
12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/614.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/64 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/65.5 shots/match
40.3%Possessionseason · 6/643.7%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/62.33 corners/match
4.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/65 corners/match
2.17 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 6/62.67 cards/match
17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲33%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona7.5
Sassuolo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona50.8
Sassuolo40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona45
Sassuolo20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona97.5
Sassuolo17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona82.5
Sassuolo62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona22.5
Sassuolo2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona67.5
Sassuolo23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
41%Possession5/544.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match
40.3%Possession6/643.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/62.33 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
17 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match
40.3%Possession6/643.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/62.33 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
17 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17 shots/match▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match
7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match
44%Possession3/346.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.34 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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