Serie A · 2025Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

WWLW

2–0Full-time recap

Hellas Verona

DLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AS Roma	Hellas Verona
Shots	10 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	8 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.2%▲PossessionAS Roma · Hellas Verona36.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	AS Roma	Hellas Verona	Baseline
Possession	60.2%	36.8%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Hellas Verona have a visible away split

weak

Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 5 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.4 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/513.4 shots/match

9.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/512.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/54.6 shots/match

2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.2 shots/match

60.2%Possessionseason · 5/536.8%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53.6 corners/match

2.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/55 corners/match

1 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/52.2 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/517.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

80%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/540%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma92.5

Hellas Verona2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma63.3

Hellas Verona45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma90.8

Hellas Verona43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma27.5

Hellas Verona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma33.8

Hellas Verona81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma72.5

Hellas Verona15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma68.1

Hellas Verona59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.8 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

60.2%Possession5/536.8%

6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.8 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

60.2%Possession5/536.8%

6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.8 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

60.2%Possession5/536.8%

6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match

60.3%Possession3/336.7%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/31 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/317.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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