Serie A · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

LWLLW

3–3Full-time recap

Torino

LDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Torino
Shots	9 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	22 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lazio have a visible home split

weak

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 4 · 8 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/62.17 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/611.5 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/614.8 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲4.83 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲4.83 shots/match

49.8%Possessionseason · 6/644.2%

3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.17 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.83 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.83 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/614.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio47.5

Torino32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio47.5

Torino45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio30

Torino13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio27.5

Torino57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio53.8

Torino62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio12.5

Torino47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio30.6

Torino57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

52.4%Possession5/545%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/516.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.3 shots/matchShots6/611.5 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.83 shots/match

49.8%Possession6/644.2%

3.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/614.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.3 shots/matchShots6/611.5 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.83 shots/match

49.8%Possession6/644.2%

3.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/614.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.25 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/412.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲5 shots/match

56%Possession3/445.3%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/44.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/414.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.85 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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