Serie A · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

WLLWW
41Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterCremonese
Shots27 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners13 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.2 shots/matchShotsInter · Cremonese6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterCremoneseBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match18.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

62%PossessionInter · Cremonese43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterCremoneseBaseline
Possession62%43.3%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2.83 goals/match1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 0 · 6 too close

2.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/61.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
20.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/66 shots/match
8.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/618.2 shots/match
6.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/62.67 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/66.5 shots/match
62%Possessionseason · 6/643.3%
8.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/62.5 corners/match
3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/67.17 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/62.17 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter97.5
Cremonese17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter95.8
Cremonese23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter67.5
Cremonese12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter92.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter37.5
Cremonese45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter97.5
Cremonese7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter85
Cremonese10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
20.2 shots/matchShots5/56.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
62.4%Possession5/544.8%
9.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
2.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
20.2 shots/matchShots6/66 shots/match
6.17 shots/matchShots on target6/62.67 shots/match
62%Possession6/643.3%
8.67 corners/matchCorners6/62.5 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
2.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
20.2 shots/matchShots6/66 shots/match
6.17 shots/matchShots on target6/62.67 shots/match
62%Possession6/643.3%
8.67 corners/matchCorners6/62.5 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored4/41 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
20.8 shots/matchShots4/45.5 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target4/42.25 shots/match
63.8%Possession4/441.5%
9.75 corners/matchCorners4/41.75 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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