PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

WLDW
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoCremonese
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Como have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match▲ShotsComo · Cremonese6.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoCremoneseBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match6.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against9.8 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8%▲PossessionComo · Cremonese45.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoCremoneseBaseline
Possession59.8%45.2%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 2 · 6 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/56.6 shots/match
9.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/516.4 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/52.8 shots/match
2.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/56 shots/match
59.8%Possessionseason · 5/545.2%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/52.8 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/56 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲2.4 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como77.5
Cremonese32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como71.7
Cremonese28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como82.5
Cremonese27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como52.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como92.5
Cremonese55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como37.5
Cremonese7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como70
Cremonese16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/56.6 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/545.2%
4 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/56.6 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/545.2%
4 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/56.6 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/545.2%
4 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots3/36.33 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
58%Possession3/344%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/32 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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