Serie A · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusAtalanta
Shots24 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession67%33%
Corners14 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atalanta have a visible away split

weak

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/matchShotsJuventus · Atalanta14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusAtalantaBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.4 corners/matchCornersJuventus · Atalanta5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricJuventusAtalantaBaseline
Corners6.4 corners/match5 corners/match4.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Atalanta in 4 · 6 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
16.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/514.4 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/513 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/54.8 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/54.6 shots/match
60%Possessionseason · 5/554.2%
6.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55 corners/match
5.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/54.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/51.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus85
Atalanta67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus89.2
Atalanta72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus70
Atalanta51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus77.5
Atalanta67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus37.5
Atalanta27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus92.5
Atalanta67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75
Atalanta52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.8 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
60%Possession5/554.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.8 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
60%Possession5/554.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
16.8 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
60%Possession5/554.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
20.3 shots/matchShots3/310.7 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.33 shots/match
57.3%Possession3/349.3%
8.33 corners/matchCorners3/32.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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