PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

Inter

WLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariInter
Shots6 shots/match20 shots/match▲
Shots on target0 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession42%58%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsCagliari · Inter18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariInterBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match18.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match9.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%▲PossessionCagliari · Inter61.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariInterBaseline
Possession43.8%61.2%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 9 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲2.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲18.8 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲9.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲5.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲3.6 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 5/561.2%
3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/57.8 corners/match
5.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲3.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.4 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari17.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari45
Inter94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari38.3
Inter60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari52.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari75
Inter45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari17.5
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari45
Inter85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/561.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/561.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/561.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots3/2—
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—
46%Possession3/2—
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—
2.33 cards/matchCards3/2—
15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCagliariInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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