Serie A · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseParma
Shots3 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6 shots/matchShotsCremonese · Parma11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseParmaBaseline
Shots6 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 14 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
6 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.8 shots/match
17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/412.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.25 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.25 shots/match
46%Possessionseason · 4/444.8%
2.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match
6.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.75 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/425%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese40
Parma22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese31.7
Parma27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese27.5
Parma40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Parma67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese40
Parma32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese7.5
Parma25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese14.4
Parma33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
6 shots/matchShots4/411.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.25 shots/match
46%Possession4/444.8%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
6 shots/matchShots4/411.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.25 shots/match
46%Possession4/444.8%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
6 shots/matchShots4/411.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.25 shots/match
46%Possession4/444.8%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/30 goals/match
Goals allowed2/31.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/313.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/33.33 shots/match
Possession2/344.3%
Corners2/34.67 corners/match
Cards2/31 cards/match
Fouls2/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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