PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Lazio 0–1 Roma · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Roma

WWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.041.16
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Lazio 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – AS Roma): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.04–1.16, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · AS Roma14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioAS RomaBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match8.75 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsLazio 10 shots, Roma 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsLazio 2 shots, Roma 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.16 xGLazio 1.04 xG, Roma 1.16 xG
  • Possession49%51%Lazio 49%, Roma 51%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersLazio 3 corners, Roma 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls22 foulsLazio 14 fouls, Roma 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardLazio 1 card, Roma 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danilo Cataldi · Lazio · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAngeliño · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · AS Roma · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNuno Tavares · Lazio · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 41′ · 0.06 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 38′ · 0.11 xG · goalDevyne Rensch · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · AS Roma · 82′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 61′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 54′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.96 xG. AS Roma: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 0.96 xG · AS Roma 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
2Draws
2Roma
Lazio — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Lazio · Serie A2–0
Roma — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio4 matchesRoma4 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.25 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.16 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5 shots/match
53.8%Possession4/4● 61%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5.5 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/414.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLazio — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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