PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Olimpico di TorinoFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoAtalanta
Shots11 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession39%61%
Corners1 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsTorino · Atalanta15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoAtalantaBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match15 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.8%▲PossessionTorino · Atalanta59.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTorinoAtalantaBaseline
Possession37.8%59.5%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Atalanta in 0 · 14 too close

0.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/415 shots/match
16.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.25 shots/match
37.8%Possessionseason · 4/459.5%
4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino7.5
Atalanta82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino26.7
Atalanta85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino9.2
Atalanta74.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino42.5
Atalanta47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino45
Atalanta17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino47.5
Atalanta72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino45
Atalanta64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲15 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/459.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲15 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/459.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲15 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/459.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoAtalanta
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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