PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 10:30 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaTorino
Shots22 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession73%27%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

AS Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsAS Roma · Torino9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaTorinoBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match19.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.3%▲PossessionAS Roma · Torino37.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaTorinoBaseline
Possession64.3%37.3%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/match▲CornersAS Roma · Torino5.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaTorinoBaseline
Corners5.33 corners/match5.33 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 0 · 14 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39 shots/match
8.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/319.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36 shots/match
64.3%Possessionseason · 3/337.3%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma95.8
Torino4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma55.6
Torino25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma84.7
Torino13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma12.5
Torino29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma33.4
Torino73
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma66.7
Torino66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma54.2
Torino51
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
64.3%Possession3/337.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
64.3%Possession3/337.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
64.3%Possession3/337.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS RomaTorino
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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