PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeGewiss StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Como

WLDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtalantaComo
Shots16 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atalanta have a visible home split

weak

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match▲ShotsAtalanta · Como15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaComoBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match15 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atalanta favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 2 · 8 too close

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/60.83 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/615 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲10.8 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/64.83 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲2.67 shots/match
53.7%Possessionseason · 6/658%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/63.83 corners/match
4.17 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/64.67 corners/match
1.5 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 6/63.17 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/616.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atalanta67.5
Como77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atalanta74.2
Como70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atalanta52.5
Como86.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atalanta67.5
Como52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atalanta18.8
Como95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atalanta72.5
Como35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atalanta53.8
Como70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/557%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/517.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.7 shots/matchShots6/615 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/64.83 shots/match
53.7%Possession6/658%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/63.83 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/63.17 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/616.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.7 shots/matchShots6/615 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/64.83 shots/match
53.7%Possession6/658%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/63.83 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/63.17 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/616.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.7 shots/match▲Shots3/314.7 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match
58%Possession3/358%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards3/33.33 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/319 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtalantaComo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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