PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 2–0 Parma · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 2–0.

Shots
1217
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.131.96
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Parma 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Parma): shots 12–17, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.13–1.96, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots17 shotsCagliari 12 shots, Parma 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsCagliari 5 shots, Parma 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.96 xGCagliari 1.13 xG, Parma 1.96 xG
  • Possession51%49%Cagliari 51%, Parma 49%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCagliari 4 corners, Parma 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsCagliari 15 fouls, Parma 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardCagliari 3 cards, Parma 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 74′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Parma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Parma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Parma · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 77′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 8′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMattia Felici · Cagliari · 77′ · 0.14 xG · goalPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 70′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAndrea Belotti · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Parma · 9′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 8′ · 0.27 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 29′ · 0.35 xG · on targetGaetano Oristanio · Parma · 71′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.27 xG. Parma: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Yerry Mina · Cagliari · 33′Mattia Felici · Cagliari · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 1.27 xG · Parma 1.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Cagliari
1Draws
1Parma
Cagliari — Parma · Serie A2–1
Parma — Cagliari · Serie A2–3
Parma — Cagliari · Serie B0–0
Cagliari — Parma · Serie B3–2
Parma — Cagliari · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari3 matchesParma3 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.09 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots3/310.7 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match
43%Possession3/3● 43.7%
2.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCagliari — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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