PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 1–2 Cagliari · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 1–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.992.24
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Lecce 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Cagliari): shots 11–15, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.99–2.24, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsLecce 11 shots, Cagliari 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsLecce 5 shots, Cagliari 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG2.24 xGLecce 0.99 xG, Cagliari 2.24 xG
  • Possession52%48%Lecce 52%, Cagliari 48%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersLecce 4 corners, Cagliari 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsLecce 10 fouls, Cagliari 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLecce 2 cards, Cagliari 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ylber Ramadani · Lecce · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattia Felici · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlex Sala · Lecce · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Cagliari · 48′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 67′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Cagliari · 18′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 5′ · 0.49 xG · goalAndrea Belotti · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.59 xG · goalAndrea Belotti · Cagliari · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.99 xG. Cagliari: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tiago Gabriel · Lecce · 5′Andrea Belotti · Cagliari · 33′Andrea Belotti · Cagliari · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.99 xG · Cagliari 2.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lecce
2Draws
1Cagliari
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A4–1
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce4 matchesCagliari4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
0.53 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.26 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 12.8 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.5 shots/match
45.3% ●Possession4/444.3%
4.25 corners/match ●Corners4/43.5 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls4/416 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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