Serie A · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap

Juventus

WW

4–3Full-time recap

Inter

WL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Juventus	Inter
Shots	12 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Possession	41%	59%
Corners	5 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Inter18 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Juventus	Inter	Baseline
Shots	16.7 shots/match	18 shots/match	14.3 shots/match
Shots against	12 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7%▲PossessionJuventus · Inter62.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Juventus	Inter	Baseline
Possession	53.7%	62.3%	54%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 0 · 14 too close

2.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

16.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/318 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.3 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.67 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

53.7%Possessionseason · 3/362.3%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/39.33 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/313.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus41.7

Inter91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus69.4

Inter86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus61.1

Inter47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus91.7

Inter75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus41.6

Inter33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus58.3

Inter91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus50

Inter77.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

16.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲18 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.67 shots/match

53.7%Possession3/362.3%

5 corners/matchCorners3/39.33 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

16.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲18 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.67 shots/match

53.7%Possession3/362.3%

5 corners/matchCorners3/39.33 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

16.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲18 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.67 shots/match

53.7%Possession3/362.3%

5 corners/matchCorners3/39.33 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 1 matches

—Goals scored2/1—

—Goals allowed2/1—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/1—

—Shots on target2/1—

—Possession2/1—

—Corners2/1—

—Cards2/1—

—Fouls2/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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