PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros

Ferroviária 1–2 Athletico · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–2.

Shots
1021
Shots on target
18
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Paranaense beat Ferroviária 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ferroviária – Atletico Paranaense): shots 10–21, shots on target 1–8, possession 46%–54%, corners 1–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ferroviária's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ferroviária's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Paranaense have a visible away split

moderate

Atletico Paranaense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots21 shotsFerroviária 10 shots, Athletico 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsFerroviária 1 shot, Athletico 8 shots
  • Possession46%54%Ferroviária 46%, Athletico 54%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersFerroviária 1 corner, Athletico 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsFerroviária 8 fouls, Athletico 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsFerroviária 2 cards, Athletico 4 cards
  • Passes351 passes403 passesFerroviária 351 passes, Athletico 403 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%84%Ferroviária 80%, Athletico 84%
  • Shots inside box4 shots12 shotsFerroviária 4 shots, Athletico 12 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks8 blocksFerroviária 4 blocks, Athletico 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves1 saveFerroviária 6 saves, Athletico 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideFerroviária 3 offsides, Athletico 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ferroviária
1Draws
0Athletico
Athletico — Ferroviária · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ferroviária favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ferroviária37 matchesAthletico37 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.16 goals/match
13.3 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 4.86 shots/match
49.8%Possession37/37● 51.7%
4.32 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.43 corners/match
2.97 cards/matchCards37/372.24 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls37/3714.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Nov 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFerroviáriaAthletico
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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