PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Leonidas Sodre de Castro

Paysandu 1–2 Coritiba · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–2.

Shots
115
Shots on target
12
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Paysandu 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paysandu – Coritiba): shots 11–5, shots on target 1–2, possession 52%–48%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coritiba have a visible away split

moderate

Coritiba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsPaysandu 11 shots, Coritiba 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsPaysandu 1 shot, Coritiba 2 shots
  • Possession52%48%Paysandu 52%, Coritiba 48%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersPaysandu 4 corners, Coritiba 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsPaysandu 14 fouls, Coritiba 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsPaysandu 2 cards, Coritiba 2 cards
  • Passes539 passes507 passesPaysandu 539 passes, Coritiba 507 passes
  • Pass accuracy91%91%Paysandu 91%, Coritiba 91%
  • Shots inside box4 shots1 shotPaysandu 4 shots, Coritiba 1 shot
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockPaysandu 6 blocks, Coritiba 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves0 savesPaysandu 0 saves, Coritiba 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides0 offsidesPaysandu 0 offsides, Coritiba 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paysandu
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Paysandu · Serie B2–5
Paysandu — Coritiba · Serie B2–1
Coritiba — Paysandu · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu36 matchesCoritiba36 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 0.61 goals/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots36/3612.3 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target36/363.64 shots/match
45.6%Possession36/36● 52.9%
5.22 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.25 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards36/363.28 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Nov 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduCoritiba
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
Head-to-headPaysandu — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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