PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros

Ferroviária 2–2 Paysandu · Serie B

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ferroviária and Paysandu drew 2–2.

Shots
207
Shots on target
103
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ferroviária and Paysandu drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Ferroviária – Paysandu): shots 20–7, shots on target 10–3, possession 54%–46%, corners 7–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsFerroviária 20 shots, Paysandu 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsFerroviária 10 shots, Paysandu 3 shots
  • Possession54%46%Ferroviária 54%, Paysandu 46%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFerroviária 7 corners, Paysandu 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsFerroviária 13 fouls, Paysandu 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardFerroviária 2 cards, Paysandu 1 card
  • Passes380 passes344 passesFerroviária 380 passes, Paysandu 344 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%74%Ferroviária 79%, Paysandu 74%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsFerroviária 9 shots, Paysandu 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockFerroviária 3 blocks, Paysandu 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save7 savesFerroviária 1 save, Paysandu 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesFerroviária 1 offside, Paysandu 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ferroviária
0Draws
1Paysandu
Paysandu — Ferroviária · Serie B2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ferroviária favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ferroviária33 matchesPaysandu33 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.91 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.27 goals/match
13.1 shots/matchShots33/3313.5 shots/match
4.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.85 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession33/3345.3%
4.58 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.27 corners/match
3.03 cards/matchCards33/332.33 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFerroviáriaPaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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