PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Leonidas Sodre de Castro

Paysandu 0–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 0–1.

Shots
106
Shots on target
12
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova beat Paysandu 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paysandu – Vila Nova): shots 10–6, shots on target 1–2, possession 59%–41%, corners 9–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paysandu have a visible home split

moderate

Paysandu's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsPaysandu 10 shots, Vila Nova FC 6 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsPaysandu 1 shot, Vila Nova FC 2 shots
  • Possession59%41%Paysandu 59%, Vila Nova FC 41%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersPaysandu 9 corners, Vila Nova FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsPaysandu 10 fouls, Vila Nova FC 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsPaysandu 1 card, Vila Nova FC 2 cards
  • Passes299 passes209 passesPaysandu 299 passes, Vila Nova FC 209 passes
  • Pass accuracy69%68%Paysandu 69%, Vila Nova FC 68%
  • Shots inside box3 shots4 shotsPaysandu 3 shots, Vila Nova FC 4 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksPaysandu 6 blocks, Vila Nova FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 savePaysandu 1 save, Vila Nova FC 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsidePaysandu 1 offside, Vila Nova FC 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Paysandu
1Draws
1Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Paysandu · Serie B1–0
Paysandu — Vila Nova FC · Serie B2–1
Vila Nova FC — Paysandu · Serie B2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu21 matchesVila Nova FC21 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored21/210.95 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.95 goals/match
12.8 shots/matchShots21/2112.6 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.05 shots/match
43.3%Possession21/21● 46.2%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners21/214.86 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards21/212.38 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls21/2115.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 Aug 2025, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
Head-to-headPaysandu — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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