PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

Novorizontino 3–1 América Mineiro · Serie B

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 3–1.

Shots
1917
Shots on target
57
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat America Mineiro 3–1. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – America Mineiro): shots 19–17, shots on target 5–7, possession 54%–46%, corners 2–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

America Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

America Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Novorizontino have a visible home split

moderate

Novorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots17 shotsNovorizontino 19 shots, América Mineiro 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsNovorizontino 5 shots, América Mineiro 7 shots
  • Possession54%46%Novorizontino 54%, América Mineiro 46%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersNovorizontino 2 corners, América Mineiro 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsNovorizontino 15 fouls, América Mineiro 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsNovorizontino 1 card, América Mineiro 3 cards
  • Passes376 passes317 passesNovorizontino 376 passes, América Mineiro 317 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%78%Novorizontino 82%, América Mineiro 78%
  • Shots inside box13 shots8 shotsNovorizontino 13 shots, América Mineiro 8 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksNovorizontino 7 blocks, América Mineiro 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesNovorizontino 6 saves, América Mineiro 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesNovorizontino 3 offsides, América Mineiro 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Novorizontino
1Draws
1América Mineiro
Novorizontino — América Mineiro · Serie B1–1
América Mineiro — Novorizontino · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino16 matchesAmérica Mineiro16 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.06 goals/match
0.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.25 goals/match
14.1 shots/matchShots16/1613.7 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.94 shots/match
51.6%Possession16/16● 55.7%
4.56 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.63 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards16/162.69 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Jul 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
Head-to-headNovorizontino — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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