PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Leonidas Sodre de Castro

Paysandu 1–0 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paysandu won 1–0.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
36
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paysandu beat Botafogo SP 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paysandu – Botafogo SP): shots 16–11, shots on target 3–6, possession 47%–53%, corners 8–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paysandu have a visible home split

moderate

Paysandu's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsPaysandu 16 shots, Botafogo-SP 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsPaysandu 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 6 shots
  • Possession47%53%Paysandu 47%, Botafogo-SP 53%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersPaysandu 8 corners, Botafogo-SP 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsPaysandu 17 fouls, Botafogo-SP 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsPaysandu 3 cards, Botafogo-SP 4 cards
  • Passes324 passes389 passesPaysandu 324 passes, Botafogo-SP 389 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%84%Paysandu 80%, Botafogo-SP 84%
  • Shots inside box10 shots4 shotsPaysandu 10 shots, Botafogo-SP 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksPaysandu 4 blocks, Botafogo-SP 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesPaysandu 6 saves, Botafogo-SP 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsidePaysandu 1 offside, Botafogo-SP 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paysandu
2Draws
0Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Paysandu · Serie B1–1
Paysandu — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu12 matchesBotafogo-SP12 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/129.33 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/123.42 shots/match
45.1%Possession12/1245.1%
5.42 corners/match ●Corners12/124.17 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards12/122.67 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Jun 2025, 04:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
Head-to-headPaysandu — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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