PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Arena Pantanal

Cuiabá 1–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

Cuiabá

DWDLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–0.

Shots
147
Shots on target
62
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiaba beat Vila Nova 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiaba – Vila Nova): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–2, possession 55%–45%, corners 4–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova have a visible away split

moderate

Vila Nova's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vila Nova's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vila Nova's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsCuiabá 14 shots, Vila Nova FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Vila Nova FC 2 shots
  • Possession55%45%Cuiabá 55%, Vila Nova FC 45%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerCuiabá 4 corners, Vila Nova FC 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsCuiabá 17 fouls, Vila Nova FC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards2 cardsCuiabá 6 cards, Vila Nova FC 2 cards
  • Passes448 passes382 passesCuiabá 448 passes, Vila Nova FC 382 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%79%Cuiabá 83%, Vila Nova FC 79%
  • Shots inside box7 shots1 shotCuiabá 7 shots, Vila Nova FC 1 shot
  • Blocked shots5 blocks0 blocksCuiabá 5 blocks, Vila Nova FC 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesCuiabá 2 saves, Vila Nova FC 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesCuiabá 2 offsides, Vila Nova FC 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá9 matchesVila Nova FC9 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91 goal/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.9 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession9/945.9%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners9/93.78 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls9/914.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 May 2025, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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