Novorizontino
Serie B · 2025Novorizontino 2–1 Athletico · Serie B
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Novorizontino won 2–1.
- Shots
- 18–11
- Shots on target
- 4–6
- Possession
- 43%–57%
Full time
What the match recorded
Novorizontino beat Atletico Paranaense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Atletico Paranaense): shots 18–11, shots on target 4–6, possession 43%–57%, corners 7–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Novorizontino | Atletico Paranaense | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.11 days | 4.11 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Novorizontino have a visible home split
weakNovorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 21 shots/match | 16.4 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Atletico Paranaense show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateAtletico Paranaense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Novorizontino | Atletico Paranaense | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16.4 shots/match | 10 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
| Shots against | 7.6 shots/match | 12 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Novorizontino favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Novorizontino / Athletico
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.