PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 2–0 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 2–0.

Shots
104
Shots on target
50
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sao Paulo beat Atletico-MG 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Atletico-MG): shots 10–4, shots on target 5–0, possession 51%–49%, corners 5–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots4 shotsSão Paulo 10 shots, Atlético Mineiro 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsSão Paulo 5 shots, Atlético Mineiro 0 shots
  • Possession51%49%São Paulo 51%, Atlético Mineiro 49%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerSão Paulo 5 corners, Atlético Mineiro 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls17 foulsSão Paulo 20 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSão Paulo 1 card, Atlético Mineiro 2 cards
  • Passes467 passes462 passesSão Paulo 467 passes, Atlético Mineiro 462 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%86%São Paulo 86%, Atlético Mineiro 86%
  • Shots inside box8 shots0 shotsSão Paulo 8 shots, Atlético Mineiro 0 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksSão Paulo 1 block, Atlético Mineiro 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesSão Paulo 0 saves, Atlético Mineiro 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesSão Paulo 0 offsides, Atlético Mineiro 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
2Draws
3Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro — São Paulo · Serie A0–0
São Paulo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A2–2
Atlético Mineiro — São Paulo · Serie A2–1
Atlético Mineiro — São Paulo · Serie A2–1
São Paulo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo21 matchesAtlético Mineiro19 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/191.05 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/191.21 goals/match
12.9 shots/matchShots21/19▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target21/19▲ 4.74 shots/match
51.5%Possession21/19● 54.5%
4.81 corners/matchCorners21/19● 6.79 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards21/192.63 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls21/1914.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Aug 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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