PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro 1–0 São Paulo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 1–0.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
76
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Sao Paulo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo): shots 12–14, shots on target 7–6, possession 40%–60%, corners 6–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsCruzeiro 12 shots, São Paulo 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCruzeiro 7 shots, São Paulo 6 shots
  • Possession40%60%Cruzeiro 40%, São Paulo 60%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersCruzeiro 6 corners, São Paulo 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsCruzeiro 11 fouls, São Paulo 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsCruzeiro 2 cards, São Paulo 4 cards
  • Passes321 passes472 passesCruzeiro 321 passes, São Paulo 472 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%87%Cruzeiro 80%, São Paulo 87%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shotsCruzeiro 6 shots, São Paulo 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksCruzeiro 3 blocks, São Paulo 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves6 savesCruzeiro 5 saves, São Paulo 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesCruzeiro 1 offside, São Paulo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
1Draws
3São Paulo
São Paulo — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1
Cruzeiro — São Paulo · Serie A0–1
São Paulo — Cruzeiro · Serie A2–0
São Paulo — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–0
Cruzeiro — São Paulo · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro22 matchesSão Paulo22 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.18 goals/match
0.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.05 goals/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots22/2212.9 shots/match
4.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.95 shots/match
46.6%Possession22/22● 51.9%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners22/225 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards22/222.82 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2215 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCruzeiro — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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