PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza 0–1 Mirassol · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 0–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
64
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Fortaleza EC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza EC – Mirassol): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–4, possession 49%–51%, corners 11–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza EC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza EC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mirassol have a visible away split

moderate

Mirassol's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsFortaleza 14 shots, Mirassol 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFortaleza 6 shots, Mirassol 4 shots
  • Possession49%51%Fortaleza 49%, Mirassol 51%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersFortaleza 11 corners, Mirassol 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsFortaleza 15 fouls, Mirassol 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsFortaleza 4 cards, Mirassol 2 cards
  • Passes394 passes451 passesFortaleza 394 passes, Mirassol 451 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%83%Fortaleza 82%, Mirassol 83%
  • Shots inside box9 shots4 shotsFortaleza 9 shots, Mirassol 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksFortaleza 5 blocks, Mirassol 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesFortaleza 3 saves, Mirassol 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideFortaleza 2 offsides, Mirassol 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
1Draws
0Mirassol
Mirassol — Fortaleza · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza20 matchesMirassol19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored20/19▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed20/19▲ 1 goal/match
12.9 shots/matchShots20/1912.9 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 4.58 shots/match
46.5%Possession20/19● 47%
6.35 corners/match ●Corners20/195.05 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards20/192.53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls20/1912.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Aug 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaMirassol
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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