PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.251.23
Expected goals
1.011.28
Shots
12.314
Possession
50.4%56%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: deportes Tolima's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes Tolima have a visible away split

moderate

Deportes Tolima's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Tolima in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali32 matchesDeportes Tolima39 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored32/391.23 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/390.95 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals28/32▲ 1.28 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots32/37▲ 14 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target32/37▲ 4.86 shots/match
50.4%Possession32/37● 56%
4.31 corners/matchCorners32/37● 5.22 corners/match
3.91 cards/matchCards11/103.9 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3710.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Cali
1Draws
0Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima — Deportivo Cali · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliDeportes Tolima
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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