Premier League · 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.22
Expected goals
2.211.97
Shots
1916.2
Possession
64.6%45.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Brighton & Hove Albion, 2 drawn, 1 to Brentford. From this fixture's own record: brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.6% ●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Brentford45.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionBrentfordBaseline
Possession64.6%45.2%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Brentford16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionBrentfordBaseline
Shots19 shots/match16.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsBrighton & Hove Albion · Brentford14.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionBrentfordBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match14.2 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion5 matchesBrentford5 matches
3.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.97 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots5/516.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match
64.6% ●Possession5/545.2%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners5/54.4 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League2–1
Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League4–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League0–0
Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness51 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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