Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.53.25
Expected goals
1.323.36
Shots
15.419.5
Possession
56.8%56.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: al-Ettifaq's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Ettifaq's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Ettifaq's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.25 corners/match ●CornersAl-Ettifaq · Al-Hilal5.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-HilalBaseline
Corners6.25 corners/match5.75 corners/match4.44 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Al-Hilal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Hilal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Ettifaq · Al-Hilal19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-EttifaqAl-HilalBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match19.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ettifaq favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Hilal in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ettifaq8 matchesAl-Hilal8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 3.25 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 3.36 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 19.5 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 7.25 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession8/856.1%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners8/85.75 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Ettifaq
1Draws
4Al-Hilal
Al-Hilal — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Ettifaq — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League0–5
Al-Ettifaq — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Hilal — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Ettifaq — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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