PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Derby County vs Norwich City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.882
Expected goals
0.911.47
Shots
12.314.9
Possession
49.4%53%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: norwich City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Norwich City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Norwich City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsDerby County · Norwich City14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDerby CountyNorwich CityBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Derby County favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Norwich City in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Derby County8 matchesNorwich City8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.47 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.5 shots/match
49.4%Possession8/8● 53%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Derby County
1Draws
2Norwich City
Norwich City — Derby County · Championship2–1
Derby County — Norwich City · Championship1–0
Norwich City — Derby County · Championship1–1
Derby County — Norwich City · Championship2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDerby CountyNorwich City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headDerby County — Norwich City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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