PitchMath
Championship · 2026

West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.252.38
Expected goals
1.021.77
Shots
9.7516.4
Possession
52.9%58.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: west Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: west Bromwich Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible home split

weak

West Bromwich Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion8 matchesSouthampton8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.38 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.77 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.88 shots/match
52.9%Possession8/8● 58.8%
4.88 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.63 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls8/88.25 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0West Bromwich Albion
2Draws
3Southampton
West Bromwich Albion — Southampton · Championship1–1
Southampton — West Bromwich Albion · Championship3–2
Southampton — West Bromwich Albion · Championship3–1
West Bromwich Albion — Southampton · Championship0–0
West Bromwich Albion — Southampton · Championship0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Bromwich AlbionSouthampton
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headWest Bromwich Albion — Southampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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