Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor — Stats & Match Analysis

Süper Lig · 2026Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC

Başakşehir FK

LDLLW

vsPre-match analysis

Samsunspor

WLLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.671
Expected goals: 1.581.06
Shots: 1313
Possession: 53.7%56.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: samsunspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Samsunspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1 goal/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Samsunspor have a visible away split

weak

Samsunspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK6 matchesSamsunspor6 matches

1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match

1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match

1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.06 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots6/613 shots/match

4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.67 shots/match

53.7%Possession6/6● 56.8%

4.33 corners/match ●Corners6/63.83 corners/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Başakşehir FK

0Draws

1Samsunspor

9 May 2026Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig3–0

14 Dec 2025Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig0–2

1 Feb 2025Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig4–0

18 Sept 2024Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–0

3 Mar 2024Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows