PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.331.67
Expected goals
1.811.58
Shots
17.813
Possession
62.5%53.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Beşiktaş, 2 drawn, 1 to Başakşehir FK. From this fixture's own record: başakşehir FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Başakşehir FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Başakşehir FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBeşiktaş · Başakşehir FK13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Beşiktaş have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5% ●PossessionBeşiktaş · Başakşehir FK53.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Possession62.5%53.7%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Beşiktaş favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Beşiktaş6 matchesBaşakşehir FK6 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.67 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.58 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/613 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
62.5% ●Possession6/653.7%
8.33 corners/match ●Corners6/64.33 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Beşiktaş
2Draws
1Başakşehir FK
Başakşehir FK — Beşiktaş · Süper Lig2–3
Beşiktaş — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–1
Beşiktaş — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig0–2
Başakşehir FK — Beşiktaş · Süper Lig0–0
Başakşehir FK — Beşiktaş · Süper Lig1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBeşiktaşBaşakşehir FK
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headBeşiktaş — Başakşehir FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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