Championship · 2026

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
20.88
Expected goals
1.930.76
Shots
17.49.75
Possession
60.3%38%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · Charlton Athletic9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughCharlton AthleticBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Charlton Athletic have a visible away split

weak

Charlton Athletic's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.5 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 2

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough8 matchesCharlton Athletic8 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.76 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.75 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.63 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession8/838%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners8/84.38 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Middlesbrough
0Draws
1Charlton Athletic
Middlesbrough — Charlton Athletic · Championship0–1
Charlton Athletic — Middlesbrough · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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