PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.14
Expected goals
1.270.93
Shots
13.410.3
Possession
48.7%52.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 7

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano7 matchesCelta Vigo7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
48.7%Possession7/7● 52.4%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/710.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rayo Vallecano
2Draws
1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–2
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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