PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Paris FC vs AS Monaco · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.6
Expected goals
1.811.12
Shots
13.210.2
Possession
50.4%44.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsParis FC · AS Monaco10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis FCAS MonacoBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.6 shots/match15 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 1 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC5 matchesAS Monaco5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.12 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession5/544.4%
3 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3.6 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris FC
0Draws
0AS Monaco
Paris FC — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–1
AS Monaco — Paris FC · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness44 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis FCAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headParis FC — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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