PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.331.17
Expected goals
1.210.95
Shots
10.812.3
Possession
40.8%47.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Kocaelispor's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alanyaspor favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Kocaelispor in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alanyaspor6 matchesKocaelispor6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.95 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4 shots/match
40.8%Possession6/6● 47.2%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners6/62.83 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Alanyaspor
0Draws
1Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig5–0
Kocaelispor — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlanyasporKocaelispor
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headAlanyaspor — Kocaelispor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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