PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Atalanta vs Frosinone · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.8
Expected goals
0.711.42
Shots
11.816.8
Possession
48.2%41.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: frosinone's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Frosinone show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Frosinone's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Frosinone16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaFrosinoneBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against19.2 shots/match20.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible home split

weak

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Frosinone in 8 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta5 matchesFrosinone5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
0.71 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.42 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.6 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession5/541.4%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.8 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/517.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atalanta
0Draws
1Frosinone
Atalanta — Frosinone · Serie A5–0
Frosinone — Atalanta · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaFrosinone
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headAtalanta — Frosinone
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required