PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.860.95
Expected goals
0.981.25
Shots
1113
Possession
46.6%47.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Kalmar FF in 6 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF22 matchesKalmar FF22 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.64 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals13/10▲ 1.25 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 13 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 3.95 shots/match
46.6%Possession22/22● 47.9%
4.68 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.86 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Degerfors IF
0Draws
4Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–1
Degerfors IF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan1–3
Kalmar FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–1
Degerfors IF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan2–1
Kalmar FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFKalmar FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDegerfors IF — Kalmar FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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