PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

Las Palmas vs CD Castellón · Segunda División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.88
Shots
10.614.5
Possession
54.9%62.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CD Castellón's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

CD Castellón's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CD Castellón's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLas Palmas · CD Castellón14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasCD CastellónBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · CD Castellón in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas8 matchesCD Castellón8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.38 goals/match
10.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5 shots/match
54.9%Possession8/8● 62.8%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.88 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls8/811.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Las Palmas
1Draws
1CD Castellón
Las Palmas — CD Castellón · Segunda División1–1
CD Castellón — Las Palmas · Segunda División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLas PalmasCD Castellón
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headLas Palmas — CD Castellón
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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